Housing Values in Recovery Mode

(Summary of article)
17-11-2020

According to CoreLogic, the national index of Australian home values has moved back into growth, posting a 0.4% month-on-month rise in October, as prices increased in every capital city other than Melbourne.

Brisbane, Adelaide, Hobart and Canberra each recorded more than 1% growth, thereby reached new record highs.

 

Melbourne looks likely to return to growth next month, now that inspections by private appointment are once again permitted. Although values fell in October, the rate at which they are falling has been slowing since September.

Interestingly, October’s rise in capital city housing values was entirely attributed to the 0.4% lift in the value of houses. This offset a 0.2% fall in apartment values. Throughout the COVID pandemic so far, apartments had actually shown a smaller decline in values than houses, but this is likely to change.

With two thirds of Australian units rented, and rental conditions weaker in inner city Melbourne and Sydney, units are expected to underperform relative to houses over the medium term.

 

Monthly change in capital city home values

 

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Consumer confidence has surged

Since the flattening of the COVID virus curve, consumer confidence has been consistently improving. However, in October, the Westpac-Melbourne Institute consumer sentiment index surged a further 11.9%. This change was borne out by rising auction clearance rates, an increase in valuation purchase orders, and reportedly strong levels of home appraisal activity by estate agents within the First National Real Estate network.

 

Record low numbers of homes for sale

The total number of homes for sale nationally remains at record lows, creating challenges for house hunters. While there was a lift in new listings over the past four weeks (up 25.2%), the overall number of homes for sale barely increased by 1%.

This statistic points to strong rates of absorption, or in other words, buyer demand well and truly exceeds advertised supply levels.

 

Home sales higher in October

Over the past three months, sales activity has been roughly 1.5% lower than this time last year – driven lower by the 18.2% drop in sales in Melbourne. However, in October alone, home sales jumped 7% nationally. Auction clearance rates have also been consistently climbing.

 

Housing values rising or stabilising

Based on October’s data, housing values are either rising or stabilising across each of the broad regions around the country. The volume of home sales is rising and inventory levels are being absorbed faster than the rate of newly listed stock. So, if you’re considering selling, you can expect a strong response from buyers. Ask us for an appraisal here.

 

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DISCLAIMER

The following advice is of a general nature only and intended as a broad guide. The advice should not be regarded as legal, financial or real estate advice. You should make your own inquiries and obtain independent professional advice tailored to your specific circumstances before making any legal, financial or real estate decisions.